I know many of you are upset about the recent
elections and the idea of a Republican Senate, but I thought I would
share a positive perspective on things. For one, Democrats always do
poorly during off year elections, and this loss comes as no surprise. Regardless of what you think of Bill
Clinton's presidency, both houses were under Republican control almost
his entire tenure. This said, when Democratic candidates win presidential
elections that usually spells big wins for Democrats, and when
one party has too many seats there is usually a big correction during
a presidential election. So with a Hillary run, there is a chance that a
dramatic restructuring of both houses will occur in 2016, especially if
Warren is on the ticket, my secret wish, to energize the youth vote and
especially if the Republicans don't have a credible candidate to run
against her, which at the moment seems to be the case.
But I think the
ballot measures were very promising and I was glad to see some very
conservative measures voted down in referenda and liberal measures
passed. Personhood amendments, that would pretty much outlaw abortion,
failed in even deep red states, and marijuana legalization passed in
more liberal states, but minimum wage increases were extremely popular
in both blue San Francisco and red Arkansas. Gerrymandering has probably
benefited Republican candidates in this election, even though the
electorate tends to be older, whiter and more conservative, but the
electorate showed itself to be center-left when asked to vote on drugs,
abortion and minimum wage increases directly where there Gerrymandering effect is negated. So that is a strategy that
progressives should keep in mind for future elections.
Another high
point, judging from the lack of referenda on the topic; the gay marriage
debate seems to be over, with pro-equality Republican candidates being
reelected and more coming out for gay rights. Republican candidates,
appealing to their base, in gerrymandered districts, seem to be more
conservative than the electorate that votes for them. That is a positive
development and is something to keep in mind as we go into 2016.
jeudi 6 novembre 2014
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